All posts by Bryan Kavanagh

I'm a real estate valuer who worked in the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) before co-founding Westlink Consulting, a real estate valuation practice. I discovered, by leaving publicly-generated land rents to be privately capitalised by banks and individuals into escalating land price bubbles, this generates repetitive recessions and financial depressions. We need a tax-switch: from wages, profits and commodities onto economic rents/unearned incomes, if we are to create prosperity and minimise excessive private debt.

SLOWLY GETTING THERE?

Good stuff on THE AGE letters pages today:-

Not fit for purpose

Under an income tax, expenses are deductible against income only if they’re incurred in earning that income. Negative gearing violates that rule: a loss on your investment property is deductible against your salary although it’s not related to earning your salary. Meanwhile the cost of travelling to work is not deductible although it is related.

This rort costs many billions a year (The Age, 1/5). It also fails to achieve its stated purpose of providing affordable rental housing. You can claim negative gearing if you buy an existing home, which forces a prospective owner-occupant onto the rental market. The solution is to allow negative gearing only on new homes. Only this would increase the stock of rental properties.

Gavin Putland, Melbourne

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And (same page) the RSPT mining tax that became the MRRT:








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[Psst!] Hey, Labor! Looking for savings?

Negative gearing stinks.  See the teaser for Philip Soos’ report or read the report itself.

Even those who were sold the negative gearers’ dream by the spruikers are starting to realise it just doesn’t work in the long run.

Scrap it.







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VICTORIAN TREASURER AIMS TO SEND LAND PRICES SKYROCKETING AGAIN

Today’s news for first home buyers is outrageous:

http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/national/budget-boost-for-new-first-homes-in-vic/story-e6frfku9-1226631006624

David Collyer’s media release in response for Prosper Australia:

http://www.prosper.org.au/1sI







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The depression: some problem-solving heuristics

SOLVING THE DEPRESSION

Forget technical jargon. That only ties us in knots.

Is nobody doing well?

They are? Who?

The “one percent” are doing exceptionally well at the expense of others?

So, the problem is one of distribution, rather than one of generalised poverty?

How was the distributional flow constricted in such a manner that the 1% could be rewarded out of the earnings of the 99%?

Let’s draw a picture of flows within the economy to see how a fair distribution might have been denied the 99%.

Natural income flows (before taxation) can be seen as: wages to workers; profits to capital; rent to land.

First, let’s remember that in economics land is any natural resource, be it land, sea(fisheries), or air(waves). Rent flows to the “owners” of these natural resources, as it does to other government-granted privileges, such as taxi licences, etc.

But do not those granted ownership, title or licence over natural resources have a duty to pay the rent for them back to society?

Did they create land (the natural resource)? No?

Does paying an ingoing absolve the necessity to pay the rent? No?

By definition, labour earns its wages and capital its profits – yes?

Could the privatisation of public rent (i.e. rent-seeking) explain the knot in the distributional system which favours rentiers as a class as against labour and capital?

Could that default also explain why it has become necessary to introduce taxes on labour and capital for the necessary running of government?

Is it possible to remedy this misdistribution by abolishing taxes on labour and capital and funding necessary government out of government-granted privileges, super-profits, or rents that are not available to everyone else?

No? Why not? What are the obstacles? The rent-seeking 1%?







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Er, not quite, Tim

Cheap as chips – unless government has a hand in it – Tim Colebatch, The Age 25/4

 

 

Dear Editor,

Although Tim Colebatch’s piece (“Cheap as chips – unless the government has a hand in it” 25/4) does include the 40% increase in the cost of homes/renovations over the last ten years, it fails to include the 116.3% increase in Australia’s land prices. ABS Catalogue 5204.0 Table 61 shows that Australia’s total land prices rose from $1.7033 trillion in 2002 to $3.6841 in 2012. This is surely an important ‘non-government’ expense in which many Australians have been involved over the last ten years?

Bryan Kavanagh

…  and they’ll be paying it off for 30 years!

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MUCH MORE THAN “THE GREAT CRASH OF 2008” FROM MASON GAFFNEY ….

“Modern Georgists enter this period of danger and opportunity in relatively good shape. Several have outstanding scorecards calling the current crash. These include Fred Foldvary (2007, The Depression of 2008); Fred Harrison (2005, Boom/Bust); Michael Hudson (2006, “Guide to the Coming Real Estate Collapse”, Harper’s, May); and Bryan Kavanagh (2007, Unlocking the Riches of Oz).”

 

Mason Gaffney, in “The Great Crash of 2008Groundswell July/August 2008

FAILING LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUE BASES

Municipal councils shouldn’t be granting favours to the holders of vacant or underutilised land, but in the state of Victoria they most certainly do. Victorian councils appear to have sold out to speculators. So much so that one begins to wonder whether cash actually changes hands, or whether it’s due to some other form of political pressure wealthy landholders apply to Victorian councils.

Surely it couldn’t be a matter of municipal councillors’ ignorance?

Is this another reason Victoria or, more particularly Melbourne, remains the hub for Australian speculators?

Although Australia’s two other main east coast states, New South Wales and Queensland, base their municipal rates on vacant land values–so as not to have the tendency to discourage development and redevelopment, nor reward the holders of vacant or underutilised land–Victorian legislation didn’t allow this until 1920. Until then, Victoria had been firmly ensconced on the net annual value (NAV) rating system which assesses the rental value of properties as improved.

Between 1920 and the early 1990s, municipalities containing half the population of Victoria chose to switch from NAV rating in order to operate under the site value (SV) rating system. The Land Values Research Group studied all these municipal changes to SV rating which were either introduced by councils themselves or by a poll of ratepayers. It found rates based on unimproved land value (UCV)–now site value (SV)–to be the fairest and most efficient way to raise local government revenue and to encourage underutilised land back into use.

In every case where a municipality switched from NAV to SV rating, it was accompanied by a sharp increase in applications for building permits in comparison to those Victorian municipalities which chose to remain on NAV rating – even when the change in the rating system was made during a period of recession. LVRG studies to this effect were later confirmed by an independent research visit to Victoria by Professor Kenneth Lusht from Penn State University, although he did find the initial growth spurt was not maintained over the longer term. The latter was a quite reasonable conclusion.

The Kennett Victorian Liberal government effectively pulled the plug on the site value rating system in the 1990s by offering vicarious incentives to those municipalities which changed to the new capital improved value (CIV) rating system which, similar to NAV rating, takes the value of improvements into account. One is inclined to wonder at whose behest other than speculators this was, because, when offered a vote on the matter, Victorian ratepayers had usually favoured SV. Though a few SV councils held out for a time after the introduction of CIV rating, the inducements were such that all Victorian municipalities again now rate on improved values, effectively giving rates breaks to vacant and underutilised land. Instead of applying SV rating, a few councils have since tried to react by applying penalty charges to long held vacant sites: this is surely a second-best option?

But neither is it all quiet on the New South Wales and Queensland front these days. Although wealthy landed interests in those states failed to overthrow the underlying system of rating on vacant land values, they have discovered a method whereby the effects of SV can be thwarted. Few ratepayesrs seem to have cottoned onto the trick du jour, ‘minimum rates’. Minimum rates means that a number of lower-valued properties pay the same minimum rate: that is, they no longer pay an ad valorem charge against the value of their land.

The situation has got to the stage where some councils actually boast that they have “80% per cent of our ratepayers on minimum rates” as though this is a good thing, when it effectively means the 80% of ratepayers with lesser-valued lands are therefore subsidising the 20% with the most valuable land.  [!] This defeats the very rationale of the SV rating base and is a more subtle way of applying something close to a poll tax. Incidentally, it hasn’t induced similar riots to those in England in 1990 when Margaret Thatcher attempted to introduce the poll tax. Surely this has been a nice trick played on ratepayers by vested real estate interests?

The crassness and lack of principle in raising revenue at local government level in Australia appears to know no bounds.







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ANZAC DAY

Did they fight, and many die, for this way of life?

–      Australia and New Zealand’s land and natural resource rents flowing mainly to the banks and to the 1%?

–      Privately-captured land rents sending land prices so high that they deny access to many of our kids?

–      Bubble-inflated mortgages that keep others poor?

So that the natural outcome is a deflation that deepens into an economic depression?

LEST WE FORGET







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