Politicians are dangerously obsessed with national (public) debt while ignoring the catastrophic reality of escalating private debt. The fundamental differences and dynamics between the two lie in their origins and their impact on economic stability: –
The Core: Land Speculation vs. Public Spending
- Private Debt (The Real Threat): Skyrocketing private debt is not driven by productive investments, but by ever-inflating land prices and real estate speculation. Because Australia’s tax system taxes wages and capital heavily instead of capturing economic rents, money is systematically channelled into land bubbles, creating an unsustainable pyramid of private debt.
- National Debt (The Distraction): Political panic over public spending and the so-called ‘national debt’ from deficit budgets is a distraction. Public debt (borrowing) in a sovereign currency country like Australia’s is especially manageable once it is understood to be completely unnecessary.
- Disproportionate Scale
- There’s a massive mismatch in scale between the two, anyway. While governments decry a “fiscal emergency” over public debt (historically at low percentages of GDP), they remain completely silent on the private debt-to-GDP ratios which exceed 150% to 170%, pushing Australia to some of the highest private debt levels in the world. [1]
- Economic Consequences and Systemic Risk
- Private Debt Generates Depressions: Grounded in the 18.6-year property cycle, private debt will eventually outstrip citizens’ productive capacity. When this bubble bursts, the collapse of private credit will trigger severe recessions or depressions. [1]
- National ‘Debt’ is a Symptom: So-called national debt surges after a private debt crisis occurs. When the real estate bubble bursts, the government is forced to step in to bail out failing financial institutions and rescue the collapsing economy.
The Common Sense (Georgist) Solution
Ultimately, if governments abolish taxes on productivity (income and corporate taxes, and taxes on purchases) and instead implement comprehensive taxes on economic rents (to reduce land prices and monopolies), this fosters productivity and curbs speculative activities. It then becomes impossible to reach these toxic levels of private debt and generates economic prosperity.
Such change obviously needs doing!
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