HIGH LAND PRICES

The article “The Truth About High Land Prices” by real estate valuer Bryan Kavanagh in Fixing ‘The Depression We Had To Have’ explores how privatised land prices and real estate speculation act as a massive deadweight on the economy, driving boom-bust cycles and wealth inequality. Drawing on Georgist economic philosophy (the ideas of 19th-century economist Henry George), the author argues that the solution to economic distress is to capture land rent for the public purse instead of taxing labor and capital.

The core arguments and themes detailed in the article include:

๐Ÿ  The Problem with Land Financialisation

  • Artificially inflated bubbles: Australia’s real estate market has bubbled for over two decades, driven by loose bank credit and minimal tax on land rent.
  • Predatory banking models: Banks generate “super-profits” by advancing easy credit against escalating land values, trapping citizens in immense mortgage debt.
  • Economic black hole: Land has no cost of production; attributing skyrocketing prices purely to traditional “supply and demand” is an economic fallacy.

๐Ÿ“‰ The Deadweight of Modern Taxation

  • Taxing the wrong things: Levying income taxes and taxing capital creates a massive “deadweight loss” (excess burden) that stunts potential wealth creation.
  • The 2:1 burden ratio: Citing economist Martin Feldstein, the article notes that every dollar of income tax raised makes the community two dollars poorer by suppressing productivity.
  • Failure of policy: Governments ignore land-tax reform (like the 2010 Henry Tax Review) because they pander to powerful banking and mining lobbies.

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Historical Context & The Georgist Remedy

  • The 15th-century benchmark: In feudal England, ground rents were captured for the kingdom and land access was more open, allowing ordinary labourers to save 50% to 73% of their income.
  • The “Enclosure” shift: Under Henry VIII, common property transitioned into scarce private property, forcing people to pay private landlords for what was inherently theirs.
  • The Henry George Theorem: All taxes and economic burdens ultimately come out of rent anyway; capturing land rent directly would eliminate the need for income or company taxes entirely.

๐Ÿš€ Predicted Outcomes of Capturing Land Rent

If society shifted from income tax to capturing 100% of publicly-generated land rent, the author outlines several radical economic shifts:

  1. Affordable housing: Upfront land prices would drop to zero, meaning real estate values would reflect only the actual building improvements.
  2. Tax elimination: Personal income tax, company tax, and regressive goods/services taxes could be completely abolished.
  3. Surging prosperity: Wages and earned profits would rise without causing inflation, potentially funding a Citizens’ Dividend/Universal Basic Income (UBI).