All posts by Bryan Kavanagh

I'm a real estate valuer who worked in the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) before co-founding Westlink Consulting, a real estate valuation practice. I discovered, by leaving publicly-generated land rents to be privately capitalised by banks and individuals into escalating land price bubbles, this generates repetitive recessions and financial depressions. We need a tax-switch: from wages, profits and commodities onto economic rents/unearned incomes, if we are to create prosperity and minimise excessive private debt.

THE TALE OF SAMUEL BURKE

THE TALE OF SAMUEL BURKE 

– by the Bard of the Baw Baws

“I am a wealthy gentleman
My name is Samuel Burke
And I grow richer every day
Although I do not work

I am no thief nor highwayman
I keep within the law
But as the blotter sucks the ink
So I, my riches draw.

I don’t possess the Midas touch;
Nor would I stoop to beg,
Yet legally I have amassed
A mammoth golden egg.

I started when my uncle died –
My bachelor Uncle Sid;
He left his cat a thousand notes
And me but fifty quid.

I thought I would inherit more;
I thought he loved me well
But when his cat gained more than I,
It needled me like hell.

By chance our politician came
And asked why I was glum.
I told him of my legacy –
The meagre paltry sum.”

“Cheer up my lad”, our member said
“You must take my advice
You must invest the lot in land
’Twill soon increase in price.

Jump in my car and come with me”
(He took me to the coast)
“It’s here that values will advance;
It’s here they’ll rise the most.

Now here are tidings that you must
Not breathe to any man;
It’s here that money will be spent;
It’s on our secret plan.

It’s here the government intends
To make a thriving port
This is the place to speculate;
The best that could be sought. 

It’s here that roads and railway tracks
Are going to converge,
All these will lift the price of land
And force the upward surge”.

He said he’d purchased all he could
And prospects were so bright,
Asserting that within a year
He would come out all right.

I bought a block and very soon
The public works began,
Up went the value of my lot,
I was a prosperous man.

As time went on, I sold my patch,
For just two thousand quid.
I wanted cash to spend elsewhere
And this – I surely did.

I bought more land where I perceived
Would rapidly progress.
I sold it all more readily –
With even more success.

And ever since those early days
I keep upon the scent,
I nose it from the governments
Where money will be spent.

And there I buy what land I can
And have the titles set;
And wait until it’s right for sale;
And thus great profits net.

Just as the spider sets its web
To catch the flies and lice;
I, too, can catch what others earn
As lots advance in price.

 

[Part two continues below]

 

What need is there for me to work?
I buy and then relax;
By merely owning land I reap
What others pay in tax. 

Now I have many millions worth
Of land and real estate
Enriching me with increments
While I but rest and wait.”

So that’s the tale of Samuel Burke
Which he himself unfurled,
Its stench ascends to Heavens heights
And reeks throughout the world.

Some half our earnings goes in tax
Which governments demand
And much of it’s presented free
To owners of the land.

To owners, such as Samuel Burke,
Whose estates are far flung;
Who reaps the earnings of us all
Which by imposts are wrung.

No wonder we have millionaires
And needy folks galore;
When some can reap what others earn
And keep within the law.

The truth about all taxes must
No longer be ignored;
Our present taxes are
Deception, theft and fraud. 

We must collect a charge on land
For government’s finance,
And untax toil and industry
So all may have a chance

I plead with all tax-burdened folk
To join us in the fight;
And introduce these great reforms
Of justice truth and right.

 







BABY BOOMERS SOLD A PUP?

Being of the baby boomer cohort which often seems to get its jollies attending auctions and clapping those purchasers who pay a record, or near record, price for their home, I sometimes feel like a trout swimming upstream, or a Canute telling the waves to recede.

But then I’m reminded of colleagues here and abroad who are fighting the good fight, and of the many X and Y gen they’ve influenced to see the theft the rentier class is employing to enrich itsef at society’s expense.

Clearly, baby boomers do get a warm inner glow as they witness their property prices increase, but they’re oblivious to the vast collateral damage land price bubbles wreak upon the wider community when they burst.

They little realise the real estate market must self-correct from this incredible bubble.

To the question: “If escalating land prices are a natural supply/demand phenomenon, surely future generations of Australians will be priced out of the market?” baby boomers respond that their children will inherit their property assets, so they’ll be OK.  But will they?  Will their kids continue to have jobs as society disintegrates as the financial collapse worsens? Will they continue to carry excessive debt, even with their inheritance-to-be?

Unfortunately, it’s a big ask to get boomers to see the perversity of applauding high real estate auction results.  How to get them to see the economy can’t withstand the ongoing assault of taxation and high land prices?

That’s the $64 trillion dollar question.

Maybe boomers are too far gone, and X and Y gens are the hope of the side?






INTEREST RATES ON HOLD

So, the Reserve Bank of Australia has wrongly left the cash rate on hold – again.

Whilst it still wrestles with the likelihood of inflation, l might remind the RBA’s boffins we’re actually in the deflationary half of a Kondratieff wave. So inflation’s definitely NOT a problem. Yet.

As this site has tried in vain to explain to the RBA, the world is currently tanking into an economic depression as prices decline, and debt—which is far less worrisome in inflationary times—now becomes a super-heavy millstone around peoples’ necks. So, the hyperinflation is a way off yet, Glen Stevens and Co.  This is the debt deflation phase.

The end of the depression will define the period of this particular K-wave which, having its birth at the end of WWII, is a longer one than usual – but that’s for explanation in another post.

BTW, I have a far better record than the RBA on interest rate policy. In THE AGE on 15 June 2005, I believed then RBA governor Ian Macfarlane may have been on the right track:

“In the week ended June 3, Treasurer Peter Costello warned that the Reserve Bank of Australia should not increase interest rates. Early the following week, the RBA seemed to have listened.

However, Costello’s advice may have been redundant in the current deflationary environment, because the next adjustment of Australian interest rates would more properly be down.”

A forlorn hope! The RBA, hopelessly enmeshed in daily minutiae and blind to long term analysis, incredibly ratcheted the cash rate up 1.75% in the two years from May 2006 to March 2008—from 5.5% to 7.25%— before acknowledging its errors and slashing interest rates a massive 4% in the six months to February 2009.

My analysis had been vindicated: over the period, the drop in the cash rate had been 2.25%, from 5.5% to 3.25%. For now, that should remain the direction of the RBA’s overnight rate.

Hey, RBA! I’m available for consultation at a reasonable fee. I know what’s going on, because, unlike your economists, I do understand the wreckage this enormous land price bubble has inflicted upon the Australian economy, and what should be done about it.






THE GREATEST CORRUPTION

 

ONCE you’ve seen land and natural resource rents are kept purposely invisible by The Powers That Be (TPTB) so they may capture them unto themselves, you’ve pinpointed the greatest corruption of all.

It explains the existence of billionaires and paupers, of want and decadence, of high prices and of poverty-based crime.

Arbitrarily-imposed taxation becomes the natural corollary of the failure to collect the economic rent of land and natural resources to the public purse.

And, of course, TPTB take pains to badmouth land-based revenues:-

“Shocking!  A man’s home is his castle!”

“Taxes on land!  What about the poor widow with no income?”

They’re far less solicitous about all the indirect taxes the poor widow is obliged to bear, or about those taxes fining the earned incomes of labour and capital.

TPTB are the rentier class, you see. Without much success, some of us even try to emulate them.

It’s instructive that whereas the humble English labourer with a family of five in the 15th century and first quarter of the 16th century was able to save two-thirds of his wages after food, clothing and shelter, by the 21st century he had become a debt-slave.

It might be noted that taxes were virtually non-existent and land rents were captured for revenue in the 15th and first part of the 16th centuries.

So, we now look to government to solve all the corruptions that flow from not getting revenue from its proper source.

One of many such ‘solutions’ is Australia’s compulsory superannuation.  People are found singing its praises because it hangs well-intentioned additions off our failed tax edifice.

Taxes generate uncompetitive high prices; industries shut down or flee off shore; inadequate public capture of land rent inflates land price bubbles which burst into recession and depression; labour becomes unemployed; crime rates increase …. but TPTB manages to keep all eyes diverted from the inadequate public capture of our land rent.

Silently, this remains the greatest corruption of all.

WHAT A PARTY; WHAT A HANGOVER!

Says Prosper Australia’s David Collyer today:-

WHAT A PARTY; WHAT A HANGOVER!

The RBA said yesterday assets have fallen by $40,000 per household in the last year.

No wonder everyone is now saving over ten percent of their incomes and slashing mortgage balances with grim determination.

The economy, which usually steers like an oil tanker, has turned on a dime.

We were spending about 103 per cent of incomes, pinching off some of the strong rises in home prices and balancing this with borrowings.

What happened? Falling land prices.

The ABS says house prices are down nationwide by a mere 4.8 per cent (ABS). This is the result.

We all have a personal balance sheet. It might exist only in our heads, but it exists nonetheless. Asset price falls come straight off our personal equity, our savings, while liabilities – mainly the home mortgage – are payable in full with interest from after-tax incomes.

Returning to – overshooting – the long-term average land price is going to be quite an experience for anyone with big borrowings. The impersonal forces that provided ‘Free Deposits’ for housing upgrades are now issuing ‘Underwater Coupons’ to anyone foolish enough to be long and geared into the Australian real estate market. Boomer balance sheets suddenly look quite different, and they simply do not have enough working years left to restore their finances.

The unshakable determination of the MSM and politico-housing complex to maintain citizen ‘confidence’ with deliberately misleading anecdotal narratives has given people false hope. They should be jailed for the tremendous economic damage they have done.

This unfolding financial catastrophe need never have happened. Perhaps it takes a crisis to remind citizens what really matters in a modern and dynamic economy: social justice and economic efficiency. Change the tax system to remove the incentives to speculate and structure it to encourage labor and business enterprise instead. We have the blueprint – the Henry Review. All we need is a government with the political will to carry it out.







IRELAND, QUEENSLAND & JIM

IRELAND IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN TO US!

Tim Colebatch’s warning for Australians in today’s AGE “Irish nightmare: Prepare” is timely but, even though he does mention Ireland’s land boom, he and BIS Shrapnel director Frank Gelber are more concerned about what the correction in our mining boom and our terms of trade are going to do to Australia rather than the $805 billion that’s about to disappear when our incredible land price bubble bursts.

It will rival anything the world has seen.

It’s clear that modern economists can’t get their heads around the devastation excessive privatisation of land rent does to economies. They haven’t distinguished land from capital nor assessed surface land rents at 30 per cent of the economy – capable of replacing all forms of destructive taxes.

The very first frame of Prosper Australia’s new documentary Real Estate 4 Ransom should disabuse those who believe that such secondary considerations as governments, money, credit, interest rates or terms of trade are at the root of our problems:

“If you had all the money in the world and I owned all the land, what would I charge you for your first night’s rent?”

We need to get rid of the most fundamental culprits: land ownership, land price, land monopoly and land speculation – and the taxing of labour and capital that perpetuates them.

For centuries the Bible has vainly endeavoured to make the point that we are merely stewards: we can’t OWN land nor sell it for a capital sum. It must be rented.  (Levitucus 25:23)  Unfortunately, we pay the penalty every 18 years for the prestidigitation of economists which makes land invisible to us.

____________________________________

LEARNING OUR LESSONS?

The public mutinied on Queensland Premier Anna Bligh last Saturday–and how!–just as surely as did his crew on her illustrious forbear, Captain William Bligh.

Many are the reasons, but two are most basic:

  1. She sold off the Port of Brisbane and freight division of Queensland Rail for $15 billion and still left Queensland in a financial mess.
  2. Queenslanders’ “hip pocket nerve” was feeling the pinch.

Hopefully, Premier Ted Baillieu will learn a lesson and come to see that selling off the family silver is not the way to proceed with Victoria’s financial problems either. The Henry Review has shone a light on the positive potentialities of far greater land value capture and the abolition of damaging taxes.

Secondly, The Barometer of the Economy chart in “Unlocking the Riches of Oz” shows convincingly, I hope, that Australians will throw any government out on its ear once they are feeling financially compromised.

___________________________________________

MELBOURNE FAREWELLS JIM STYNES

You’ll be missed, mate.







AN HONEST MAN

OCCUPY LONDON

The Robin Smith Institute

http://gco2e.blogspot.co.uk/2012/03/occupy-london-3-weeks-of-truth.html

 

How few understand what made St Paul’s a model of how society could really sustain itself.

Even though it was rough and ready, it worked perfectly for 3 weeks.

Then declined… and fell.

In that short time, a majority of Occupiers had put aside their prejudices by giving all people equal space to speak, right or wrong, made it a first duty to help others before themselves, abolished respect for all leaders and experts on camp.

And the result was?

Something we call “Energy”. An almost magic force that just made things work. Some said we were lucky. I say it is because we told the truth and helped each other… from the heart. Not the pocket or the mind.

Occupy London successfully pushed back on, and exposed corruption for all to see, within the most powerful institutions in the land: The City of London, The Church, The Media, The Law. And the people of the country to a large extent saw it all play out. They know it now.

Because we told the simple truth. No bullshit, no experts, no intellect. This “Energy” is strange thing. I often found myself speaking to the camera in a way I had not learned. I was getting “help” from somewhere. Was that the “spirit” of our small social organisation. Or something else? I cannot explain this.

We had shown that if the people get up and make a stand, change can happen. But you have to get up and do it. Yes that’s right, we took our bodies and sent them to the front line.

There is nothing special about an Occupier. I loved every minute of it. I will do it again, happily. We have simply changed our minds and made the free choice all people have, to no longer submit to the corrupt. And told everyone exactly that. How quickly the powerful cave in. That free decision, a commitment to protest, gave me the confidence to overwhelm the dangers, corrupt power, the cold.

The wider result, I think its fair to say, gave all people the confidence that they have the ultimate power too, if they make the free choice to use it. So my view now is not to blame the powerful.

But to ask ourselves the big question: “Do I really mean it?”

Alas, we only had so much “Energy”. I have never burnt the candle more fiercely  than that in my 48 years. In 3 weeks the Energy started to run out. We should not be ashamed of this. We could not keep such a high maintenance, un-grounded, dangerous activity going forever. The authorities knew this but it took them a while before they stopped having a go. In Wall Street, they were not that smart. It seems to me America is a broken society already in decline.

So, even we finally became recaptured by the corrupt regime we were protesting against. Isn’t it ironic?

Occupiers started to get flattered by the camera, became arrogant of the success, saw a future career working for the 1%, got media bribes to say what the press wanted, were given high seats in the church and within legal counsel. We succumbed and let our egos steal back that magic, “The Energy”.

Sound familiar? All things that today’s mainstream society carries out without even knowing it. The people have got used to corruption and no longer know they don’t know. Have the people become corrupt too?

I was guilty too but stayed for another 9 weeks, in denial of the loss of something so special. This takes nothing away from the protest. It simply shows how deep the problem goes. We are all at it, Occupiers are trying hard to stop it but are still a part of society. We cannot live in a vacuum of perfection.

For a grown man I shed a lot of tears at St Paul’s, many times when observing the completely unnecessary depravity society knowingly commits the few to and then leaves them to die. Or how the same utterly hopeless cases immediately found a purpose for life simply after realising they were now part of their own small society once again.

But the most tears came when normal people, maybe a 1000 passers by at my tent, who made special trips from across the nation, to tell their story. They would say:

All we have done is worked hard, built good businesses, now we are in desperate trouble, we want to get a tent and protest with you, to be Occupiers too, but cannot because we are so afraid of losing our jobs and families if we do so. We have come to say thank you for doing it for us.

We say, these visitors are as much Occupiers as anyone who chose to share tents with the vulnerable.

The moniker of the Occupy Movement is “The 99% versus the 1%”. I do not believe in this marketing for a moment. It too is inherently corrupt. Divisive rather than uniting.

I believe life, society and this world are about the 100%. Only when the care of others first is written on our hearts can the enormous gift we’ve been offered of abundance, freedom and security be permanently sustained.

_________________________________________

 

Reward yourself by going to Robin Smith’s original at

http://gco2e.blogspot.co.uk/2012/03/occupy-london-3-weeks-of-truth.html

and clicking on his interview in the video “St Paul’s School of Economics”.






ANYONE FOR A TAX CHALLENGE?

 

So Fortescue Metals’ “Twiggy” Forrest and WA Premier Barnett want to join forces in a High Court challenge to the Minerals Resource Rent Tax (MRRT)?

Gavin Putland says a much better case can me made against a number of other taxes: he suggests on what grounds right here.  It’s a veritable D-I-Y for individuals and companies who need to claw back some of the taxes they should never have paid without a whimper in the first instance.