All posts by Bryan Kavanagh

I'm a real estate valuer who worked in the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) before co-founding Westlink Consulting, a real estate valuation practice. I discovered, by leaving publicly-generated land rents to be privately capitalised by banks and individuals into escalating land price bubbles, this generates repetitive recessions and financial depressions. We need a tax-switch: from wages, profits and commodities onto economic rents/unearned incomes, if we are to create prosperity and minimise excessive private debt.

THREE ACRES AND A COW

THREE ACRES AND A COW

“I hear thee speak of a bit o’ land,

And a cow for every laboring hand;

Tell me, dear mother, where is that shore

Where I shall find it and work no more?

Is it at home this promised ground

Where the acres three and a cow are found?

Is it where pheasants and partridges breed?

Or in fields where the farmer is sowing his seed?

Is it on the moors so wild and grand

I shall find this bit of arable land?”

“Not there! Not there, my Giles!”

 

“Eye hath not seen that fair land, my child,

Ear hath but heard an echo wild –

The nightmare of an excited brain,

That dreamers have, like Chamberlain.

Far away, beyond the ken

Of sober, practical businessmen;

Far away beyond the sight

Of men whose heads are screwed on right;

Where castles in the air do stand,

Behold the cow and the bit of land!

‘Tis there! ‘Tis there, my Giles!”

–      Anon







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WHY SITE VALUE TAX IS BEST OPTION

Why site value tax is best option

Sunday December 2 2012

Madam – We the undersigned support the introduction of a property tax based on the unimproved value of all residential sites, and all zoned land, ie the value that has not been created by the landowner. A tax on the unimproved portion of property value is a Site Value Tax (SVT).

SVT is the most equitable, efficient and effective property tax option for the Government. Unlike a conventional property tax that taxes the ‘improved’ portion of the property, ie the buildings and thus penalises construction, SVT is non-distortionary, creates no economic drag and has minimal adverse effects.

By capturing unearned value at an early stage of the property development process, SVT discourages empty buildings, land speculation, hoarding and over-zoning and diverts capital and available credit into productive investment and sustainable jobs.

In the long term, an SVT will moderate violent fluctuations in the property market and general economy.

SVT provides a stable base to fund vital infrastructure and services and offers a transparent link between the private benefits of public investment and the source of the investment.

SVT will reduce the property tax burden on homeowners by one-third by spreading the burden on to development land-owning individuals, firms and banks which were largely responsible for the current crisis.

Peter Antonioni, UCL;

Bill Black, Associate Professor of Economics and Law, University of Kansas;

Dr Micheal Collins, NERI (Nevin Economic Research Institute);

Karl Deeter QFA, (LIAM) dip;

Dr Constantin Gurdgiev, Adjunct Prof at Trinity College Dublin;

Dr Stephen Kinsella, University of Limerick;

Professor Brian Lucey, Trinity College;

Ronan Lyons, Balliol College, Oxford;

Dr Terrence McDonough, Economics, NUI Galway

 

See also Maireid Sullivan’s piece at

http://www.globalartscollective.org/what-has-happened-to-Irelands-sovereignty.htm

and don’t forget to click on the Ireland v. Norway video there!







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SIR ROBERT GORDON MENZIES

SIR ROBERT’S LEGACY

Sir Robert scanned Australia vast

So sparsely populated

“O something must be done”, said he

To get folk immigrated.

I’ll tax the toilers more and more

To get my plan in motion

And I will trot across the globe

To coax men o’er the ocean

 

Sir Robert raised the income tax

The school books got their levy

He burdened most consumer goods

With duties huge and heavy

The big landholders grinned with mirth

And said the scheme was clever

They knew land values would increase

Without their own endeavour.

 

As migrants by the million came

They needed land for tillage

The owners asked them such a price

‘Twas nothing else but pillage

Among the men who owned the land

Great fortunes cumulated

The landless peoples’ lot grew worse

Their needs were aggravated

 

“I’ll help the newly weds,” said Bob

To show I’m philanthropic

I’ll grant them all three hundred pounds

This proved him most myopic.

The fellows who owned all the land

Half split their sides with laughter

They could demand three hundred more

For blocks of land hereafter

 

Sir Robert said I’ll build new roads

And smear the land with phosphorus

Improve the railways and the ports

And make Australia prosp’rous

The workers had to foot the bills

He took their cash in slices

The speculators were enriched

As land advanced in prices.

 

The land went into fewer hands

The estate business flourished

The workers’ bankbooks and their kids

Went sadly undernourished.

As agricultural land grew scarce

The farmers’ sons went townwards

This caused a labour surplus there

Which forced all wages downwards.

 

The workers in a drastic plight

For higher wages pleaded

Sir Robert and his government

Relented and conceded

Then wages soared up very high

But prices spiraled higher

Wage earners were not better off

They stayed stuck in the mire.

 

Sir Robert by his very act

The big landholders pampered

By placing fortunes in their hands

While industry was hampered.

For when the market price of land

Exceeds its valuation

It locks out capital and works

Thus fostering stagnation.

 

With all the aids of implements

Discoveries in science

All labourers should be opulent

Content in self reliance

Instead we have the phenomena

Of booms that end in busting

When toilers cannot get a job

Machines lie idly rusting

 

So much for Robert Menzies’ role,

And Calwell’s is no better

Their views keep capital hamstrung

And labour in a fetter

We must shake off the parasites

Shake off taxation’s burden

Collect land rent for revenue

So toil can reap its guerdon.

 

– JS Rankin

The Bard of the Baw Baws

~~~~~~~

Sir Robert Gordon Menzies is held by some to have been Australia’s greatest Prime Minister.

John Simon Rankin, “The Bard of the Baw Baws” (2 Dec 1912 – 1 Jul 1994), clearly had a good grip on matters economic, and obviously did not agree. Nor did he hold Menzies’ Labor Party opponent, Arthur Calwell, in particularly high regard.

It was actually Sir Robert Menzies who abolished the Australian federal land tax in 1952. It had been legislated in 1910 and served Australians extremely well since 1911.  Menzies provided the wealthy’s usual justifications for getting rid of it.

Related matter of interest:

It was left to another Liberal Party Prime Minister, John Grey Gorton, to finally dismantle Canberra’s system of land rent – although it does nominally remain a leasehold system .  (Canberra, Australia’s capital, celebrates its centenary next year.  See “Canberra: those other Americans” by David Headon.)







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PROSPER AUSTRALIA SAYS IT’S TIME TO GET REAL

Prosper Australia 

Access Opportunity Prosperity

Prosper Australia Press Release:

Time to get Real

13 December 2012

Citizens deserve the truth: property prices are down -8.6 per cent nationally in real terms.

Removing inflation from real estate prices reveals falls from peak of -11.2 per cent in Melbourne and -11.6 per cent in Brisbane in real terms, according to fresh analysis by researcher Philip Soos, deflating the ABS house price series by CPI.

“Brisbane peaked in March 2008; the rest in March to June 2010. Recent home buyers, and anyone expecting a return on their investment beyond somewhere to live, have lost money since then,” David Collyer Campaign Manager Prosper Australia said today.

FALLS FROM PEAK

Source: ABS,Soos

“Real estate is a tangible asset. Most believe it should match or beat inflation. It has not for the last two and a half years. It has been actively correcting the past excess.

The Reserve Bank targets inflation of 2-3 per cent over the cycle. The level is modest enough to be nearly invisible year-to-year, but has a significant, compounding effect on multi-year comparisons.

“It must be understood these figures understate the fall, as the ABS 8 Capital Cities House Price Index lags the market by about five months and other data providers show further recent price falls.

“The correction to date is very modest in comparison to the solid price rises 1992-2008.

TROUGH TO PEAK

Source: ABS,Soos

In real terms, from 1986, Melbourne and Perth prices tripled, Sydney and Hobart prices doubled and other cities came in between.

“The Great Australian Land Bubble enriched anyone bold enough to sign a loan. These gains convinced many they had the touch of Midas, and prompted the myth property only goes up. Location was irrelevant. Rental returns a detail. Capital gains descended on landowners like pigeons on a granny with stale bread – it was effortless,” Collyer said.

Now, prolonged first homebuyer disinterest due to high prices is affecting the key metrics around housing. Building activity is weak, stock on market elevated and sales volumes subdued. Official interest rates at 3.0 per cent are highly supportive, but with little benefit yet. Further cuts will smell of desperation and likely cost savers more than they benefit borrowers.

“Do not underestimate the private advantages being seized while Australia’s negative gearers and modest homeowners bravely stand their ground to hold up prices. The smart money left the land market long ago – sold its holdings, paid off debt, and is quietly sitting out the bust in cash. When prices have stabilized after the reset, the money will return to pick up cheap assets.

“Did you remember to sell?”

Comment: David Collyer 0413 248 193

About Prosper: Prosper Australia is a tax reform lobby group and think tank that is now 120 years old. It seeks to move the base of government revenues from taxing individuals and enterprise and capture the economic rents of the natural endowment, notably through Land Value Tax and Mining Tax.

 







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THE PRODUCTIVITY DEBATE

The people at Business Spectator usually provide interesting economic analyses, but they’ve shown they’re not up to thinking outside the square that has come to constrain productivity and the financial sector.

So, I couldn’t resist commenting on Robert Gottliebson’s (correct) opinion today that “Fortune won’t cut it for the lucky country”.

The incredible blind spot about the manner in which the world’s tax regimes have fostered investment in real estate at the expense of productivity carries through into every quarter of economic analysis, not even rating a mention in the McKell Institute’s recent “Understanding Productivity: Australia’s Choice”.

Chiding several other analysts, the McKell Institute’s report endeavoured in vain to distinguish itself from “neoclassical economists” by recommending productivity be raised in the following less than inspiring fashion. It seems Australia must:-

  1. Innovate or perish
  2. Create better managers
  3. Make better use of skills

Yep. That was it.

Go, McKell Institute!

Don’t worry that the world is on its knees because we’ve taxed doers for doing, and rewarded parasitical plutocrats for stealing our land and natural resource rents!

Why can’t we focus on that idiocy – and try to rectify it along the lines Ken Henry suggested?

[Sigh!]






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Chrystia Freeland [Love that surname!]

Chrystia Freeland, author of “Plutocrats: The Rise of the New Global Super-Rich and the Fall of Everyone Else” is one of a relatively few analysts who understand how most billionaires make themselves rich at our expense out of our land and natural resource rents.

Probably correctly, she doesn’t see those billionaires who don’t indulge in land and natural resource monopoly as a major concern.

Freeland, Charles Abugre and Jamie Whyte were interviewed today by Justin Rowlatt in the BBC’s “In the Balance” program entitled Sharing the Wealth.

Freeland and Abugre were right onto the problem of rent-seeking, but Whyte just didn’t get it.  Admitting his New Zealand Presbyterian roots may be holding him back, even rent-seeking billionaires didn’t seem to bother Whyte.  He was more concerned that government expenditures have been running amok.

Well, that maybe correct up to a point, Mr Whyte, but you don’t seem to realise that if the social contract didn’t provide a safety net in these misbegotten times, carcasses of billionaires might well be swinging from the branches of sturdy trees right now.

In some ways, that’s why an unsatisfactory status quo persists. Charity and government handouts do mask the untold devastation the big rent-seekers, including banks, have been inflicting upon us.






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“THINGS FALL APART; THE CENTRE CANNOT HOLD”

William Butler Yeats: The Second Coming (1921)

 

We can get out of this one OK. We always do.

You’ve got your experts – the economists. They know how to fix things.

And the politicians will listen to them and get the financial system humming along again. They’re not dills either.

So why all the doom and gloom? Let the party continue. We’ve got to get on with life.

Sure things are tough for some, but we’ve had worse.

She’ll be right mate!

______________________

They’ll write many hundreds of books about this period of insanity  —  and still fail to explain it.






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TAX REFORM DOESN’T MATTER ANYMORE: YOU’RE GETTING MORE GST

How’d you like to abolish more than one hundred taxes on labour, capital and employment in Australia?

–      That’s the proposal of the Henry Tax Review.

How’d you like real tax reform – the abolition of most of our taxes?

–      That’s the proposal of the Henry Tax Review.

How’d you like far cheaper prices as a result of the removal of more than one hundred taxes plus all their cascading deadweight costs?

–      That’s the effect of the Henry Tax Review proposals.

How’d you like to have the 0.1% who’ve been able to avoid paying their fair share to the public coffers paying more?

–      That’s the effect of the Henry Tax Review proposals.

How’d you like to assist productivity?

–      That’s the effect of the Henry Tax Review proposals.

How’d you like the poor and middle class to pay more tax to assist the wealthy?

–      That’s the proposal of the Grattan Institute and of some of the State premiers who want to extend the GST. (They call this ‘tax reform’!)

Why will we have an extended GST, even though the Labor Party claims it doesn’t want to do this? (Really?) And why will our elected representatives mistreat us this way?

–      We cop it in the neck because politicians are too timid to challenge the seat of power and privilege.  …. So we’re no longer their constituents: we’ve become their stooges.  Call them to account!







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