On 2 August 2005, I spoke at a symposium at Melbourne University on tax reform, along with Tim Colebatch and professors Julian Disney and John Freebairn. I suspect videos both forecasting and explaining exactly why the world was slowly descending into this deep deflation are rare. How was I able to beat the Quants?

Hat-tip to Foreground Media for providing subtitles to compensate for poor quality sound.


In the autumn of 2001 the British Journal Geophilos published my forecast of the global financial crisis in an article called “The Coming Kondratieff Crash: Rent-seeking, income distribution & the business cycle“.

Geophilos back cover

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